"How can I know what I think until I read what I write?" – Henry James


There are a few lone voices willing to utter heresy. I am an avid follower of Ilusion Monetaria, a blog by ex-Bank of Spain economist (and monetarist) Miguel Navascues here.
Dr Navascues calls a spade a spade. He exhorts Spain to break free of EMU oppression immediately. (Ambrose Evans-Pritchard)

viernes, 3 de mayo de 2013

Oro y bolsa

Víctor, veo que tu Yra Harris es un especulador de oro, que en febrero decía:

Legendary trader Yra Harris says, The currency wars are real, and the game is on.” Harris says the global currency war is what helped Volkswagen gain market share in the last few years. So, what is Japan doing? It is cutting the value of its currency so Toyota will gain market share. The currency war is also what’s been driving gold higher. Harris says, “Is gold in a bull market? Absolutely. Is gold a tired bull for the moment? Absolutely. . . . I think you’d be crazy to sell because there are so many variables of uncertainty.” Harris goes on to predict,“What do I think is the most explosive event for gold? It is the day Draghi (President of the ECB) can no longer jawbone quantitative easing. He actually has to step up to the plate.” Harris is counting on the Fed to continue to pump out dollars. He says, “I can go to sleep at night and know one thing–the Fed will not allow deflation.” The reason is simple, according to Harris, “We live on debt in this society. Debt based societies cannot absorb a deflationary spiral.” Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with analyst and trader Yra Harris.
Pues miren lo que ha hecho el oro en un año:


Impresionante el mistake. ¿Cuanto habrá perdido? Tanto como Ron Paul...

Aparte de eso, el gráfico ilustra un cambio de sentimientos que se refleja en ambos mercados, la bolsa y el oro. La caída del oro refleja menos miedo al riesgo que, a su vez hace subir la bolsa. Un cambio espectacular. Que siga así.



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