Grecia, al borde del caos

Grecia debe de sacar 5 mm € para una deuda que vence ya, pero mientras tanto, la Troika (FMI BCE Y la UE) discrepan cada vez mas acerbamente sobre la entrega del tramo del rescate, propuesta Grecia no cumple con lo previsto. Christine Lagarde ha sabidurías en publico con Rampuy, sobre la deuda de Grecia en 2020, que ya es muy difícil que alcance el "benéfico" nivel del 150% de PIB. Lagarde simplemente no se lo cree si no crece un poco, mientras que Rompuy dime estar dispuesto a alargar el plazo a 2022. Por otro laso, se duda de que Grecia pueda obtener los 5 mm € pare el ciernes, dado que el BCE ñe ha cerrado su ventanilla de descuento de su deuda. No admite mas deuda griega como colateral.

En el FT:

In a rare breach, Mr Juncker told a post-meeting press conference the target would be moved to 2022, prompting Ms Lagarde to insist the IMF was sticking to the original timeline. When Mr Juncker again insisted it would be moved – “I’m not joking,” he said – Ms Lagarde appeared exasperated, rolling her eyes and shaking her head.

“In our view, the appropriate timetable is 120 per cent by 2020,” Ms Lagarde said. “We clearly have different views.” Officials will meet again November 20 in an effort to reach agreement, Mr Juncker said.

Despite the delay, officials insisted Greece would not default on Friday, when Athens must make a debt payment of about €5bn without the benefit of international aid.

Greece’s ability to raise the money on its own has been cast into doubt after the European Central Bank refused to increase the amount of treasury bills it would accept as collateral from Greek banks seeking low-interest ECB loans. Without the ability to use treasury bills as collateral, Greek banks have little financial incentive to purchase them.

Parece que Grecia esta amortizada. Tarde o temprano deberá romper amarras, un hecho sin precedentes en el euro. ¿Cuales serán los efectos de contagio?