Una pieza insuperable de Nick Rowe, el de worlwide_canadian_iniriative: ¿Qué viene a decir? que en Europa tenemos nuestro Tea Party: TODOS. por ejemplo, todos los economistas españoles, son Tea Party sin saberlo. Lo son, desde el momento que achacan todos nuestros males a la rigidez salarial. Jajajajajajajajaja. Todos han jurado sobre la Biblia (sin saberlo) lealtad total al euro. Jajajajajajajajajajajajaja.
Nosotros nos ahorcamos a nosotros mismos, y encima, indecorosamente, decimos que trichet/Merkel tienen razón! Jajajajajajajajaja.
Aclaremos: un Tea Party es un grupo que se niega a reconocer la necesidad de un Banco Central como suministro de liquidez y prestamista de última instancia. O sea, TODOS. Incluso Trichet es del Tea Party. Jajajajajajajajajajajajaja. Viva el trueque!!!!!
Esta historia (del euro) suena cada vez más a las tenebrosas autoinculpaciones stalinistas, o al tecer grado de obediencia jesuita, que viene a ser lo mismo. jajajajajajajajaja. Cada vez que sale un economista español en la Tv, descarájense.
Vivimos sobre una Gran Mentira. Una mentira puede ser útil. Una Leyenda puede ser útil. Un Mito puede tener siglo de utilidad. Pero un engendro burocrático, nunca.
Y mientras vamos cediendo: que si reformas; que si congelación de pensiones; que si el déficit constitucional; pero lo importante, que es la falta absoluta de realismo del BCE, como tinglado imposible que es, eso, sigue oprimiendo y creando paro. De momento vale, porque la gente se lo traga.
Nosotros tenemos 17 tea Parties, jajajajajajajajajajjajajajaja
Nosotros nos ahorcamos a nosotros mismos, y encima, indecorosamente, decimos que trichet/Merkel tienen razón! Jajajajajajajajaja.
Aclaremos: un Tea Party es un grupo que se niega a reconocer la necesidad de un Banco Central como suministro de liquidez y prestamista de última instancia. O sea, TODOS. Incluso Trichet es del Tea Party. Jajajajajajajajajajajajaja. Viva el trueque!!!!!
Esta historia (del euro) suena cada vez más a las tenebrosas autoinculpaciones stalinistas, o al tecer grado de obediencia jesuita, que viene a ser lo mismo. jajajajajajajajaja. Cada vez que sale un economista español en la Tv, descarájense.
Vivimos sobre una Gran Mentira. Una mentira puede ser útil. Una Leyenda puede ser útil. Un Mito puede tener siglo de utilidad. Pero un engendro burocrático, nunca.
Y mientras vamos cediendo: que si reformas; que si congelación de pensiones; que si el déficit constitucional; pero lo importante, que es la falta absoluta de realismo del BCE, como tinglado imposible que es, eso, sigue oprimiendo y creando paro. De momento vale, porque la gente se lo traga.
Gracias, Nick
The Eurozone Tea Party and the Lender of Last Resort
The Tea Party is much more powerful in Europe than in the US. Read Ambrose Evans-Pritchard to see an example. It's just they don't call it the "Tea Party" in Europe. It doesn't seem to have a name over there, but that's what it is.
The basic philosophy underlying the Tea Party is, at its crudest: "We're not paying for them". Who's "we" and who's "them" differs across two centuries and across the Atlantic Ocean, but it's still recognisably the same philosophy. The Tea Party makes life difficult for the Lender of Last Resort, because the Tea Party wants some sort of guarantee it will get its money back. And that guarantee can never be made cast-iron. If it could, you probably wouldn't need a Lender of Last Resort in the first place.We like to make a distinction between an entity that is illiquid and an entity that is insolvent. An illiquid entity can't pay what it owes right now. An insolvent entity can't ever pay back what it owes, even if you lend it some more to tide it over. Ideally, a Lender of Last Resort lends freely to entities that are illiquid but solvent. It lends enough to tide the entity over until it can pay what it owes.Solvency refers to the future, and you can never know the future, so you can never know for sure that an entity is solvent.Solvency also depends on the interest rate that the Lender of Last Resort will charge. At a high enough interest rate, the entity won't be able to pay what it owes, including what it owes to the Lender of Last Resort. At a low enough interest rate, the entity may be able to pay back what it owes. But that interest rate must also be high enough to compensate the Lender of Last Resort for the risk it undertakes. This feedback may be especially strong if the Lender of Last Resort is a central bank, so its monetary policy has macroeconomic consequences. So, even if we agree on the equations about the future, those equations may give more than one right answer.And the Lender of Last Resort must act quickly, and be expected to act quickly and resolutely, even if it cannot quickly determine whether the entity is solvent, or what would be needed to make the risks worth the interest rate on the bridging loan.This is not what the Tea Party wants to hear.Despite my British North American bias, I have some sympathy for the Tea Party. The Lender of Last Resort function is perhaps antithetical to deliberative rule-bound democracy. It's a judgement call, and can't be anything else. If "we" are all in this together, so we sink or swim together, we can perhaps set aside these problems. If worst comes to worst, and it's a bail-out not a loan, we are only bailing out ourselves. But as soon as you start asking "Who, whom?", you never stop. Are Finnish taxpayers bailing out the Greek government, German banks that own greek bonds, French pensioners with funds in German banks, or Finns selling cellphones to those French pensioners?It's hard deciding these things when there is one central bank governor, one finance minister, and one country. With 17, it's a lot harder. As I have said before. Mish says it's "17 veto points".
Nosotros tenemos 17 tea Parties, jajajajajajajajajajjajajajaja